I’m convinced that Donald Trump can be beaten in the 2020 election by several of the potential nominees. Recent polling even shows that Joe Biden can beat him here in Texas. Biden currently has the highest national ranking among Democrats who are running for the nomination.
I’m just not sure he can actually win because this will be an election much like 2016 where turning out voters is more important than persuading so called swing voters and Biden isn’t that inspiring to the folks who too often don’t vote.
I don’t see him getting support from the people who we need to get to the polls in Texas in order to win a majority for president or possibly more importantly providing the coattails to win the federal and state legislature. His support is primarily older voters who already turn out to vote in most elections.
The people Democrats need in order to win the majority in the state and federal legislature are the young and minority voters. Many of those voters find Biden too middle of the road and his recent statements claiming that Republicans will work with him as well as telling business executives that not much will change just prove he’s not the change so many were looking for when they voted for Obama then Trump.
That’s not to say Biden won’t get the nomination or even win in 2020, but if he does, I worry he’ll end up with a Republican controlled Senate which will prevent him from achieving even slight reforms and that will lead to another Trump-like president in 2024 as voters continue to look for change.
Even if Biden wins and gets to work with a majority in both houses of Congress, his own statement that not much will change suggests his administration won’t provide the push to move forward on climate change, social justice, or any of the other reforms our nation so sorely needs.
Yes, it would be more minority friendly, more LGBTQ friendly, less reactionary, and a better international partner but that won’t be enough for people who don’t see our government as responsive to their needs. It won’t be enough to inspire them to vote again in 2022 and 2024 and, if they do vote, it won’t keep them from turning to another charlatan selling snake oil in the hope that they’ll shake things up.
I’ll vote for whoever is the Democratic nominee in 2020 because none of the candidates can be worse than Trump or for that matter anyone who could possibly win the Republican nomination. I simply fear that having a “moderate” win our nomination and then the presidency invites disaster for the future of our nation. Next Wednesday and Thursday on NBC the public will have a chance to hear from 20 of the candidates and I hope that readers will take that opportunity to begin getting to know the candidates.
Wednesday, June 26’s will start at 8p.m. and the candidates on stage will be: Sen. Cory Booker, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, former Rep. John Delaney, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, former US Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro, Rep. Tim Ryan, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, and Washington Gov. Jay Inslee.
The following night, Thursday, June 27, also starting at 8 p.m., the lineup will be: Sen. Bernie Sanders; Sen. Kamala Harris; former Vice President Joe Biden; South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg; Sen. Michael Bennet; author Marianne Williamson; Rep. Eric Swalwell; Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand; entrepreneur Andrew Yang; and former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper.